Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.169569 0.198218 0.229695 0.266774 0.309179 0.356084 0.411815
2025-11-16 0.118658 0.156442 0.202511 0.262459 0.338009 0.429629 0.548668
2025-11-23 0.088637 0.128099 0.180145 0.253056 0.351664 0.479373 0.656071
2025-11-30 0.076635 0.119226 0.179019 0.267774 0.394551 0.567195 0.817681
2025-12-07 0.061783 0.102992 0.164303 0.260280 0.404344 0.609578 0.920201
2025-12-14 0.050403 0.089585 0.151082 0.252130 0.410744 0.645993 1.015620
2025-12-21 0.042057 0.079360 0.140884 0.246573 0.419356 0.685091 1.116831
2025-12-28 0.037169 0.074024 0.137564 0.251108 0.443491 0.748891 1.259683
2026-01-04 0.033728 0.070612 0.136855 0.259573 0.474350 0.825163 1.427349
2026-01-11 0.030322 0.066655 0.134542 0.264749 0.499801 0.894269 1.588213
2026-01-18 0.027023 0.062322 0.130885 0.266893 0.519866 0.955573 1.740212
2026-01-25 0.023957 0.057924 0.126452 0.266919 0.535834 1.010687 1.885161
2026-02-01 0.020782 0.052831 0.120127 0.262876 0.544482 1.054714 2.016198
2026-02-08 0.017978 0.048068 0.113829 0.258158 0.551428 1.096388 2.146626
2026-02-15 0.015219 0.042865 0.105819 0.248859 0.548337 1.119142 2.244169
2026-02-22 0.014603 0.042788 0.108986 0.263355 0.593834 1.235692 2.521900
2026-03-01 0.012560 0.038674 0.102429 0.255972 0.593853 1.265431 2.638770
2026-03-08 0.010769 0.034855 0.095972 0.247944 0.591553 1.290161 2.747320
2026-03-15 0.009365 0.031813 0.090925 0.242471 0.594046 1.324309 2.876117
2026-03-22 0.008626 0.030547 0.090138 0.246938 0.618717 1.405003 3.102196
2026-03-29 0.008131 0.029922 0.090918 0.255276 0.652777 1.507317 3.378071
2026-04-05 0.007540 0.028875 0.090424 0.260374 0.679812 1.596644 3.632755
2026-04-12 0.006890 0.027501 0.088837 0.262486 0.700004 1.672661 3.864339